Seeking α Investing Strategy - Pagina 120
BNP Paribas lancia i nuovi Premi Fissi Cash Collect su panieri settoriali di azioni italiane ed estere
BNP Paribas annuncia l?emissione di una nuova serie di certificati Premi Fissi Cash Collect su panieri di azioni con scadenza biennale. I nuovi strumenti offrono premi fissi trimestrali tra l?1,5% …
‘L’inflazione salariale è ovunque’, l’alert di Goldman. Le banche di Wall Street pagano impennata dei costi
Grandi banche statunitensi alle prese con ingenti aumenti dei costi legati all’impennata dei salari. L'inflazione salariale sta colpendo importanti banche d’affari come Goldman Sachs, paralizzata da un aumento del 23% …
Da Intesa Sanpaolo nuova emissione di Bonus Cap Barriera Continua su azioni italiane e internazionali
Da oggi saranno disponibili sul SedeX di Borsa Italiana 24 nuovi Certificati Bonus Cap Barriera Continua End Of Day di Intesa Sanpaolo, su azioni italiane e internazionali. L?obiettivo dei nuovi …
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  1. #1191

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    Quale potrebbe essere un un'investimento sicuro?

  2. #1192
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    Distribution Of U.S. Stock Returns In 2020 | Seeking Alpha

    While the capitalization-weighted S&P 500 (SPY) has managed to shake off its pandemic-induced spring drawdown to rise over 4% in 2020, the median stock in the broad list of domestic equities has fared far worse. The distribution is shifted towards the negative tail with the most populated cohorts losing 20-30% (412), losing 30-40% (398), and losing 40-50% (347).

    Of the nearly 3,664 listed stocks with full year 2020 returns, the median return (e.g. the 1832nd ranked return) is -14.75%. There is a large gap between the median return for U.S. stocks in 2020, and the weighted average mean performance for large cap stocks that are up between 4-5% on the year.


  3. #1193
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    Active Angles On Today's Market Challenges | Seeking Alpha

    Because of the strong performance of the top five US growth stocks, US equities now make up more than 66% of the MSCI World versus about 30% three decades ago.


  4. #1194
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    Market concentration has increased exponentially | Seeking Alpha

    As we watched the S&P 500 rally, it's important to note what's actually driving the "market" returns. The answer is: the "market" isn't rallying; rather, a handful of stocks have been driving the entire market's returns. If you look at the percentage of the total market cap the "Sexy Six" represent, investors should note that diversification is decreasing in the "market" as a larger allocation is much more concentrated in these stocks.

    The chart below shows the dramatic rise in market concentration of the top five stocks in the S&P 500 Index. Today's concentration levels far exceed the dot-com bubble era of 1999-2000 and are approaching the "Nifty Fifty" era of the 1970s, two bubbles that eventually burst. It is also important to note that the "Sexy Six" stocks represent almost 40% of the Russell 1000 Growth Index.


  5. #1195
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    Estimating Future Stock Returns, September 2020 Update | Seeking Alpha

    The level of the S&P 500 now is priced to return 1.79%/yr for the next ten years, with no adjustment for inflation. That’s in the 97th percentile of valuations. Now the only comparables are from the dot-com bubble.




  6. #1196
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    Estimating Future Stock Returns, September 2020 Update | Seeking Alpha

    The level of the S&P 500 now is priced to return 1.79%/yr for the next ten years, with no adjustment for inflation. That’s in the 97th percentile of valuations. Now the only comparables are from the dot-com bubble.




  7. #1197
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    Forecasting returns to 2030 with the long-term trend | Seeking Alpha



    When extending the best-fit line and the prediction bands (Figure-3), then the S&P-real end of December 2030 value would be 4,549, while the highest and lowest values shown by the prediction bands would be about 8,780 and 2,360, respectively.

    Thus the historic trend forecasts a probable annualized return of 2.1% for S&P-real from its current level of 3,695 to the end of 2030.

  8. #1198
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    Estimating Future Stock Returns, June 2021 Update | Seeking Alpha

    Though at the end of the quarter, the S&P 500 was priced to return -0.91%/year over the next ten years, at present that value is -1.41%/year.

    The only comparable period for this market is from the fourth quarter of 1999 to the third quarter of 2000 - the dot-com bubble, which was another period of speculation fueled by loose monetary policy.


  9. #1199
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    The Dollar And Emerging Markets | Seeking Alpha

    Emerging markets generally have a lot of dollar-denominated debts.

    When the dollar strengthens, it increases the value of those debts, which is bad for emerging markets all else being equal. When the dollar weakens, it decreases the value of those debts, which is good for them.

    All of the major emerging market bull markets in history occurred during dollar-weakening environments. If this dollar reversal has legs to the downside, that could be great for emerging markets.

    A weaker dollar is a catalyst for a period of emerging market outperformance if it persists (and that’s still an “if”).


  10. #1200
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