Cambiavalute

avete una vacca o almeno una capra???
segnalo questo sul latte, prezzi in picchiata aziende che chiudono:rolleyes:

http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2009/03/dairy-farm-crisis-milk-prices-turn-sour.html


Dairy Farm Crisis; Milk Prices Turn Sour

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che il matretasso fosse caldo e accogliente noi lo sappiamo da sempre, qui gli ultimi dati che avevevamo

http://www.finanzaonline.com/forum/showpost.php?p=20346183&postcount=487


e l'intervista del mese, di obama uno che ha le idee chiare mi pare:rolleyes:

http://www.nytimes.com/2009/03/08/us/politics/08obama.html?pagewanted=2&_r=1

“What I don’t think people should do is suddenly stuff money in their mattresses and pull back completely from spending,” he said.

mat.png



http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601109&sid=anmrn4H8hXfw&refer=home

Minnesota Bank Asks Why It Pays for Wall Street Greed (Update2)
Email | Print | A A A

By Linda Shen

March 6 (Bloomberg) -- TCF Financial Corp., the Wayzata, Minnesota-based bank that never made a subprime loan and hasn’t lost money since 1995, is asking why it should help clean up the mess made by Wall Street.

“I’m kind of bitter,” said William Cooper, chief executive officer of the 448-branch bank, adding that over the years TCF has invested about $1 billion in the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.’s fund that guarantees bank deposits. “We pay for the excesses of our competitor over and over again.”

TCF is among more than 8,300 banks and lenders insured by the FDIC facing increased fees and a one-time “emergency” charge designed to raise $27 billion this year for the agency’s depleted coffers. Community banks may take a 10 percent to 20 percent hit to 2009 earnings even if the FDIC halves that charge, said Camden Fine, president of the Independent Community Bankers of America.

The ICBA and its 5,000 mostly locally owned member banks are rebelling against the costs, as well as curbs on pay and business practices imposed on recipients of U.S. capital after public outrage over bonuses and perks. Community banks rely more on deposit funding, so they suffer a “much heavier burden” as a result of deposit insurance proportionate to size than peers such as New York-based Citigroup Inc. and Wells Fargo & Co., with its headquarters in San Francisco, Fine said.

‘Incompetence and Greed’

Community lenders “are feeling like they are paying for the incompetence and greed of Wall Street,” Fine said this week in an interview.

The ICBA encouraged its members to flood the FDIC with letters protesting the emergency fee. Fine said he’s received more than 1,000 e-mails and telephone messages from angry bankers since the FDIC approved the fee on Feb. 27.

U.S. Senate Banking Committee Chairman Christopher Dodd said he plans to introduce legislation that would temporarily raise the FDIC’s $30 billion borrowing authority with the Treasury to $500 billion, with a permanent increase to $100 billion. The change may give regulators room to reduce the emergency fee, FDIC Chairman Sheila Bair said.

U.S. Representative Barney Frank, a Massachusetts Democrat and chairman of the House Financial Services Committee, said on March 5 that there is legitimate concern about FDIC fees among community banks, which the ICBA defines as “locally owned” with assets ranging from less than $10 million to “multibillion dollar institutions.”

Lower Assessment

“A number of members have been concerned about the increased assessment that’s hit community banks from the FDIC in part because of failures to which they did not contribute,” Frank said yesterday on the House floor. “So voting for this bill will be an important step to lowering the assessment on community banks.”

The House approved a measure yesterday increasing the borrowing authority to $100 billion and making permanent the $250,000 deposit-insurance limit in the financial bailout measure enacted in October.

Without the fees, the FDIC fund might become insolvent because of a surge in bank failures, Bair said in a March 2 letter to bankers Sixteen banks have failed so far in 2009 after 25 were seized last year, most of them with less than $1 billion in assets.

FDIC-insured banks lost $26.2 billion in the fourth quarter, the first loss for a three-month period since 1990. U.S. banks and other financial companies have reported about $800 billion in writedowns and credit losses since 2007 in the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression.

‘Quite Angry’

The FDIC fee increases are “not going to make or break a community bank, but they are having to suffer as a result, and they are quite angry,” said Josh Siegel, co-founder of StoneCastle Partners LLC, which manages about $2.3 billion in assets and invests in more than 220 community banks.

“It takes a bite out of earnings,” said Joseph Conners, chief financial officer of Beneficial Mutual Bancorp, the largest lender based in Philadelphia, with $2.7 billion in deposits. Conners said halving the fee would help. “It’s better than paying a triple assessment, but it’s still a double assessment.”

FDIC assessments are set per $100 in deposits and not weighted by bank size. That’s a formula that could be modified to shift the cost burden to the largest banks “that caused this train wreck,” Fine said.

TCF never “securitized anything, we never engaged in any of those unscrupulous activities,” said Cooper, 65. The bank pays a 25-cent quarterly dividend and applied to return $361.2 million in U.S. funds.

TARP Stigma

More than 500 banks, insurers and credit-card companies applied for money from the government’s Troubled Asset Relief Program, which has distributed more than $290 billion to companies including Citigroup and American Express Co. While regulators encouraged both ailing and healthy banks to take TARP money, losses by big banks and pressure to cut dividends, pay and perks have stigmatized the program for others, Cooper said.

“The regulators wrongly suggested we take it,” Cooper said. “Everybody who took the TARP money now is a crook and an evil character.”

Lafayette, Louisiana-based Iberiabank Corp. last month became the first lender to apply to return the money, saying that TARP placed it at “an unacceptable competitive disadvantage.”

“Unfortunately, healthy banks, such as ours, have been categorized with troubled banks,” Iberiabank CEO Daryl Byrd said in an e-mailed statement.

To contact the reporter on this story: Linda Shen in New York at lshen21@bloomberg.net


invece di focalizzarsi su quelle forti come sopra, si focalizzano ancora sugli zombi

bank-zombie-3.jpg


l'ironia e il coraggio di questi è senza confini

March 9, 2009

Goldman Sachs accuses India of $20bn in 'withdrawals' from ONGC

http://business.timesonline.co.uk/t...ectors/banking_and_finance/article5870849.ece


fangul:yes:

e buon trading a tutti:)
 

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loro chiudono hedge da 200% in un anno e si focalizzano du nuovo hedge che segue inflazione:rolleyes:

data

36 South Plans Inflation Hedge Fund After 236% Black Swan Gain

March 6 (Bloomberg) -- 36 South Investment Managers Ltd., a New Zealand-based hedge fund firm set up by derivatives traders, will close its Black Swan Fund after it gained 236 percent in the last 12 months and start a fund that wagers on inflation........

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aMnfuo6KKyQU&refer=home

QUOTE]




una banalita' magari ma che non riesco a risolvere....

come faccio a comprare inflazione????

cosa si usa??

grazie a tutti.. ciao..
 
una banalita' magari ma che non riesco a risolvere....

come faccio a comprare inflazione????

cosa si usa??

grazie a tutti.. ciao..

Io direi oro e stare corti con gli investimenti per prendere il treno quando parte. Però quoto la tua domanda perchè anch'io vorrei saperne di più.
 
http://www.24hgold.com/english/news...0&redirect=false&contributor=Charleston+Voice


Life during the Inflation of 1923


By : Charleston Voice










The most popular image of the German Inflation is the flood of paper money which issued from the printing presses and engulfed the nation. The struggle against it was hard, tragic and often ridiculous, and innumerable stories are still told about it. A German girl neatly sum it up: "You could see mail carriers on the streets with sacks on their backs, or pushing baby carriages loaded with paper money which would be devalued the next day. Life was madness, nightmare, desperation, chaos."


The chief cause was the Reichsbank’s policy of simply printing more money to counter the country’s debt in view of the cost the First World War and the reparations owing. The mark plummeted on the international money markets and inflation soared.


The inflation peaked in 1923 where for the last 5 months it was a staggering 300 million percent. When the inflation was finally stopped by the introduction of the Rentenmark on 16th November 1923, the exchange rate was 4.2 trillion marks to the US dollar - ie 4,200,000,000,000 marks.


Effects of the Inflation

Prices and incomes changed daily. A former student recalls: "One fine day, I dropped into a café to have a cup of coffee. As I went in I noted that the price was say 5,000 marks - just about what I had in my pocket. I sat down, read my paper, drank my coffee and spent altogether one hour on the café, and then asked for the bill. The waiter duly presented me with the bill for 8,000 marks. 'Why 8,000 marks?' I asked? The mark had dropped in the meantime I was told. The 'index' based on the dollar exchange rate had altered so much that the price had gone up by 60% while I was sitting at the table. So I gave the waiter all the money I had - and he was generous enough to leave it at that."









People who did not convert their savings into tangible assets (or Sachwerte) lost them. Pensions became worthless, the middle class was by and large reduced to poverty. Many starved to death. Conditions were so harsh that people even ate dog meat: around 20,000 dogs were slaughtered for human consumption in 1923 alone.


Typical is the case of a bank which, unwilling to keep open an account with 68,000 Marks, informed the customer that it was to be closed. "Since we have no banknotes in small enough denominations at our disposal, we have rounded up the sum to 1 million marks. Enclosed: one 1 million mark note."


Emergency Money

On the 17th July 1922, a law was passed to permit the printing of emergency money with certain safeguards. After that municipal banks, the railways, local authorities and also private firms used this law to start printing their own money. In the end it was estimated that more than 2,000 kinds of emergency money were circulating, and many of them were not authorised.


Many municipalities, reacting to the Reichsbank notes which became more drab and dull, took pride by giving their money and attractive look by good design and witty texts - often in verse or the local dialect. Some advertised their local industries by using leather, linen or silk to print on. One town issued money consisting of leather suitable for soling shoes as a truly inflation-proof form of currency, while one private firm promised the bearer "one pound of rye."


Before World War I, the highest denomination note had been the 1,000 mark note, affectionately known as the "brown rag". Being the equivalent of some 250 US dollars, it was rarely seen by most people before the inflation. Today, a note in perfect condition fetches no more than a couple of dollars or so.


Overprinting

At some stages during the inflation the inflation rate had jumped ahead so far that large amounts of money still sitting in the Reichsbank vaults were already worthless. For instance, in 1923 the worthless 1,000 mark note of 1922 was overprinted and re-issued at one million times its previous value: "eine Milliarde mark" - a billion marks.


Many Notgeld notes were also overprinted as the 500 Milliarden Mark note from Konstanz illustrates.









Source: William Guttman's "The Great Inflation" - a very worthwhile read.



Click here to return to the Notgeld page


This page was updated by Richard Holmes on Friday, 27 July 2001






Charleston Voice
 

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news from minewb

GOLD NEWS
$1 BN SPENT TO DATE
Rio Tinto not delaying Mongolian copper/gold mega mine
Monday , 09 Mar 2009
Rio Tinto says it has no plans to delay the big Mongolian Oyu Tolgoi copper-gold project and denies media reports the $3 billion development may slow.
1.35M GEO OZS TARGET IN ‘09
Yamana reports $345m net profit for '08, fueled by higher production and gold prices
Thursday , 05 Mar 2009
Yamana CEO Peter Marrone says Yamana hopes to increase this year's production by 35% to yield more than 1.35 gold equivalent ounces.
AUSTRALIAN GOLD BOOM
Lihir Gold follows Newcrest's example with big capital raising
Wednesday , 04 Mar 2009
The buoyant scenario for Australian-based gold miners through the strong gold price and the relative strength of the American dollar to the weakened Australian dollar has seen Lihir follow Newcrest's lead.
19.4M OZS PROVEN & PROBABLE
Yamana reports record gold reserves and resources
Wednesday , 04 Mar 2009
Yamana plans to spend a minium of US$56 million this year for exploration with the goal of exceeding its current record gold reserves and ounces.
CONSTRUCTION MAY BEGIN SEPTEMBER
Barrick's Regent says only a handful of Pascua-Lama issues left to resolve
Wednesday , 04 Mar 2009
Barrick CEO Aaron Regent has told London reporters, "We'd like to make a production decision relatively soon" regarding the fate of the sprawling Pascua-Lama gold project.
HIDDEN VALLEY, DOORNKOP ON TARGET
Harmony Gold on track to being debt free and mining more gold
Tuesday , 03 Mar 2009
South Africa's No. 3 gold producer, Harmony, is well on track to reducing its net debt to zer by the middle of the year opening its doors to further expansion and the revival of its dividend.
REFINERY PROCESSES 90% MEXICAN GOLD, SILVER
Penoles says it will meet demand despite MetMex refinery strike
Tuesday , 03 Mar 2009
As a three-week old strike continues at the MetMex metals complex precious metals refinery, Penoles said it will have enough gold and silver to last for months.
HOMES CRUSHED, WORKERS TRAPPED
10 dead, 20 missing in Peruvian mining camp avalanche
Tuesday , 03 Mar 2009
Heavy seasonal train has triggered an avalanche in the Pumo region of Peru that killed at least 10 person and trapped more than 20, crushing some 50 homes.
MOTO MOTORING AGAIN
A gold reawakening in the DRC
Monday , 02 Mar 2009
Moto Goldmines unveils $438m optimized feasibility study for life-of-mine production of 4.8m ounces at $318/ounce cash cost.
SHARIA COMPLIANT
WGC sponsored gold ETF launched in Dubai
Monday , 02 Mar 2009
The awaited Sharia compliant gold ETF has been launched in Dubai and will be traded on the NASDAQ Dubai exchange, with gold backing being held by HSBC.
INVESTMENT INSIGHTS
Gold stock prices shoot up towards the stars
Monday , 02 Mar 2009
Prices for twenty selected gold stocks have risen by nearly 500%, on average, in the past four months.
HISTORIC PROJECT
Chastened Bendigo gold operation regains some spark
Thursday , 26 Feb 2009
The road back for Bendigo Mining is now quickly losing its potholes as the company moves more comfortably into commercial production aided by a stronger gold price and a weak Australian dollar linked to the American Greenback.
997,000 OZS OF GOLD PRODUCTION IN ‘09
Despite loss, IAMGOLD experiences an ‘excellent year'
Thursday , 26 Feb 2009
The completed merger of IAMGOLD and Orezone Resources will create new exploration company, Orezone Gold.
13.6 PERCENT DECLINE
South African gold output lowest for 86 years
Tuesday , 24 Feb 2009
South Africa's Chamber of Mines reports a 13.6% decline in annual gold output in 2008 - the lowest since a strike-hit 1922.
ISLAMIC INVESTMENT PRINCIPLES
Sharia compliant gold security to be launched in Dubai
Tuesday , 24 Feb 2009
A gold backed ETF-type security which complies with Islamic Sharia investment principles is to launched in Dubai next week.
MORE LEVERAGE WITH GOLD STOCKS
Gold will be the last man standing - Lou Paquette
Monday , 23 Feb 2009
Newsletter writer and commentator Lou Paquette believes that as people finally begin to realize that gold is the only asset we can count on any more, the bull market will "come out of its shell." He shares some of his favorite mining companies that are well-positioned to ride out these turbulent times. Interview with The Gold Report.
$785M 2008 NET INCOME
Barrick Gold takes $773m writedown on Australian mines, reports 4Q08 loss
Monday , 23 Feb 2009
The world's largest gold company has taken a $773 million writedown on three mines, but has three new projects which will increase its overall gold production in 2010.
$853M NET PROFIT FOR 2008
What a difference a year makes as CEO O'Brien turns around Newmont
Friday , 20 Feb 2009
Newmont CEO Richard O'Brien has apparently achieved the financial turnaround he promised when he took the reins of America's top gold miner in 2007.
FRESH CAPITAL ISSUES
Gold Wheaton in CAD 100m bought deal
Thursday , 19 Feb 2009
Bypassing the banking system, mining companies have announced USD 30bn in capital issues in the past few months.
ANOTHER $150 MILLION
Anglo American sells even more of AngloGold Ashanti
Thursday , 19 Feb 2009
Following on Wednesday's announcement that Anglo American had sold $280 million of AngloGold Ashanti shares, regulatory filings show it has now sold a further 1.4 million shares bringing its stake down to 11.88%.
CERRO CASALE DECISION IN Q309
Kinross Gold takes $1b write-down on 2007 Bema Gold acquisition
Thursday , 19 Feb 2009
Kinross Gold CEO Tye Burt says his company and joint venture partner Barrick will make a decision on the economics of the Cerro Casale project in the third quarter after a feasibility study is completed.
2/3 DECLINE IN 4Q09 NET PROFIT
Agnico-Eagle's '09 gold production projected to double - and then double again
Thursday , 19 Feb 2009
Canadian gold miner Agnico-Eagle reported record quarterly and annual gold production and reserves for 2008, despite a decline in net profit.
MORE GOLD CORPORATE ACTIVITY
Simmers raises the gold bar
Wednesday , 18 Feb 2009
Simmer & Jack moves closer to freeing up one of the biggest value traps among listed gold mining stocks.
IMPROVES CASHFLOW
Anglo American offloads 3% of AngloGold Ashanti
Wednesday , 18 Feb 2009
Anglo American has taken advantage of the recent big upswing in gold mining stocks to sell around 3% of associate company AngloGold Ashanti to raise some $280 million.
EXPLOSIVE INCREASE AHEAD?
Upwards momentum builds as gold breaches $950
Tuesday , 17 Feb 2009
The gold price this morning moved quickly through the psychological $950 an ounce level and predictions of $1000 gold being seen sooner rather than later seem far from far-fetched.
GOVERNMENT STAKE
Chelopech gold/copper smelter still on track for Dundee
Monday , 16 Feb 2009
Canada's Dundee Precious Metals says it is still on track to build a gold/copper smelter at its Chelopech mine in Bulgaria despite the global financial crisis
CORPORATE GOVERNANCE
Gold, money, lawyers, tears
Monday , 16 Feb 2009
Central Rand Gold fires its black economic empowerment partner, in no uncertain terms.
 
penso che il suo target sia tra 850 e 870

così si creano le basi per quel testa spalle che tu alcuni giorni
fas avevi disegnato se non sbaglioOK!




ciao

e si caro corto. l'impressione è quella, solo sopra 950-960 vedo pochi rischi.
se non tiene i livelli di questa salita e area 900-905 poi, credo andremo avedere quei prezzi, se non addirittura area 820-800

++++++++++
loro chiudono hedge da 200% in un anno e si focalizzano du nuovo hedge che segue inflazione:rolleyes:

data

36 South Plans Inflation Hedge Fund After 236% Black Swan Gain

March 6 (Bloomberg) -- 36 South Investment Managers Ltd., a New Zealand-based hedge fund firm set up by derivatives traders, will close its Black Swan Fund after it gained 236 percent in the last 12 months and start a fund that wagers on inflation........

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aMnfuo6KKyQU&refer=home

QUOTE]




una banalita' magari ma che non riesco a risolvere....

come faccio a comprare inflazione????

cosa si usa??

grazie a tutti.. ciao..

Io direi oro e stare corti con gli investimenti per prendere il treno quando parte. Però quoto la tua domanda perchè anch'io vorrei saperne di più.


c'è di tutto credo, dai "soft" bond inflation linked alle più rischiose opzioni sui tassi.
in linea di massima credo che questi però facciano leva sui paesi vulnerabili dove (vedi cosa è successeo in islanda) l'inflazione possa partire a razzo.
tassi su, valuta locale giù poterebbe essere il loro gioco, oppure semplicemente puts sui bond, da quello che ho capito questi hanno finora operato con opzioni con scadenze superiori ai 12 mesi.



+++++++++

http://catalog.usmint.gov/webapp/wc...1&parent_category_rn=10191&top_category=10191
American Eagle Silver Uncirculated Coin
Production of United States Mint American Eagle Silver Proof and Uncirculated Coins has been temporarily suspended because of unprecedented demand for American Eagle Silver Bullion Coins. Currently, all available silver bullion blanks are being allocated to the American Eagle Silver Bullion Coin Program, as the United States Mint is required by Public Law 99-61 to produce these coins “in quantities sufficient to meet public demand . . . .”

The United States Mint will resume the American Eagle Silver Proof and Uncirculated Coin Programs once sufficient inventories of silver bullion blanks can be acquired to meet market demand for all three American Eagle Silver Coin products.


++++++++

roger intervista
http://link.brightcove.com/services/player/bcpid1184614595?bctid=14510970001

++++++++++

da leggere tutti, con grafici interessanti

Europe On the Ropes

http://www.investorsinsight.com/blo...x/archive/2009/03/02/europe-on-the-ropes.aspx

Bring On The Quantitative Easing, And Bring It On Now (Wonkish)!

http://eurowatch.blogspot.com/2009/03/bring-on-quantitative-easing-and-bring.html

Are Austria's Banks More At Risk Than Their Italian Counterparts?


http://eurowatch.blogspot.com/2009/03/are-austrias-banks-more-at-risk-their.html

e questo che metto tutto

http://realestateandhousing2.blogspot.com/2009/03/end-of-world-as-we-knew-it.html

Sunday, March 8, 2009
The End of the World . . . As We Knew It
For the last four and a half years, I have been writing, speaking and warning about the consequences of the housing bubble, commercial real estate bubble and the toxic paper that fueled both bubbles. I took a lot of heat for my comments.

I was not shy when I said we were headed for the worst Recession since the Depression. I was not shy when I then began referring to the coming tsunami as a Decession . . . and then in January of 2008, I took the next step and called it what it is . . . a Depression.

Deep VIOLENT Depression - I cannot emphasize this enough . . . and I have already taken heat for using the "V" word. But today I am prepared to kick it up a notch, and urge you to prepare for what is unfolding. Did we think we would have seen the extent of the violence during the Civil War, when we killed each other on our own land? Did we ever think we would have seen the violence that came out of the Depression? Hitler came to power when people lost hope in the government and financial markets. Can it happen again? We said it could never happen then, so now that we are in far worse shape than 1930, why couldn’t something much worse come out of this crisis?

100,000 Protesters - Does the government have any idea how angry people are, how betrayed they feel? It will be years before our economy recovers from the devastation wreaked by bankers. In the meantime, the possibility of something awful happening is very real. We’re one swing of a garda baton, one cracked head, away from chaos. - Gene Kerrigan

This statement could have been written about the United States, England, France, China or just about any country in the world. But for now, it comes straight from The Irish Independent. You didn’t see it on CNN, CNBC or even in any of the American papers. You had better prepare for it, because it will shut down banks, supermarkets and the very fabric of what we are. If you have not built up a food pantry, stored cash and gold, and armed yourself, you might want to consider doing it now.

White House Vegetable Garden - Tom Vilsack, our Secretary of Agriculture, proposed just that. He wants to call it "The People’s Garden," and he wants to establish community gardens at each of the department’s offices around the world. Why? It’s probably not because things are going well. It’s actually in response to a grassroots movement that has been rumbling about the need for us to grow our own food! By the way, vegetable seed sales at Burpee, Gurneys, Park Seed, etc. have been skyrocketing.

How To Avert Disaster - That was the title of a subhead in an article appearing in The Economist. The title was . . . The Bill That Could Break Up Europe. And the article dealt with ways of "stopping the rot" and "the meltdown of the EU." Let me note, there were no solutions and there was no mention of going after the men that created the problems . . . and clawing back the trillions of dollars they have stolen.

CIA Bracing for Global Economic Fallout - The CIA’s primary concern now is the security of the United States in terms of the global economic crisis and its geopolitical implications. Dennis Blair, Obama’s "intelligence czar," told his staff that concerns about the recession were now at the top of his annual worldwide threat assessment to Congress. Leon Panetta, our comical CIA directors, just announced that the CIA was now producing a secret daily bulletin, called the Economic Intelligence Brief.

Hitler Only Won 2.6% of the Vote - In 1929 Hitler was still considered a joke, and he only won 2.6% of the vote and 12 seats in the Reichstag. But just a year later, as the Depression took on steam, Hitler’s Nazi Party won 107 seats in the Reichstag. At that point Hitler’s only promises were to restore prosperity and jobs . . . and to purge the system of profiteers. I am NOT analogizing Obama to Hitler, but I am analogizing the promises of prosperity without paying the consequences for our past action or planning for the future.

Frank and Moose - After the previous paragraph, I think we need this quote. "There are names floating around, and they’re bad. Frank was one of them. Frank! Moose was another one." - Michelle Obama on her veto of the names her daughters suggested for the hypothetical family dog.

Bankruptcy for Vallejo, Phoenix, Dallas, Philadelphia - Vallejo, California has already submitted to bankruptcy. Phoenix is facing a $250M deficit. Dallas $100M. Philadelphia $300M. And New York could be facing a $900M-1.2T deficit next year. Ask yourself this question. If they are facing these deficits now, how bad does it get as tax receipts plunge due to the crushing unemployment numbers? And then ask what happens when receipts plunge, but services to the unemployed in the form of police, fire, medical, food, schools, etc. . . . skyrocket out of control? Instead of going to the doctor, the unemployed/uninsured will go to Emergency Rooms. Instead of going to the grocery store, the unemployed will go to food banks and soup kitchens . . . or worse, they will loot grocery stores. And that, my dear friends, is just the beginning of something too dark to write about.

Banks Rationing Withdrawals - It happened last week in the Ukraine, when banks not only limited withdrawals, but closed their doors altogether. But it can’t happen here, right? Wrong.
$2 Trillion to AIG - We’ve already given them $180 billion with a big B. We received an 80% stake in the company for the first $85B, but we got zippity-doo-da for the next $95B. Moreover, we have no idea what they did with the money, but I hear Goldman Sachs got billions of it from AIG, as well as JP Morgan and other banks that seem to understand the rules on sucking cash out of the system and pumping to guys like King Henry, Lord Blankfein and Prince Jamie. But the real kicker is what AIG is not telling us. As the financial crisis deepens, so does the money AIG needs to pay out. My low estimate is $2T. Unfortunately, if we continue to allow things to melt down, AIG will be on the hook for more than $5T. Strike that. WE, the taxpayers, will be on the hook for $5 trillion . . . or more.

Chinese and Saudi Ties - Last week Chas Freeman was appointed to head the National Intelligence Council. This is a guy that not only has some very strange ties to the Chinese and Saudi’s, but he still has family members and close friends on the payrolls of these countries. If not directly, indirectly. But really now, what’s the difference. Here’s a guy that worked for companies owned by the People’s Republic of China that was investing in the Islamic Republic of Iran. Even though Republicans asked for an investigation into Freeman’s ties to the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, China and Iran . . . the Obama Administration ignored the warning signals. As if this was not enough, Freeman has been a supporter of how Hamas has handled things, while denouncing Israel for protecting herself. If you think Obama to the Rescue . . . you’d better start looking at the people he is surrounding himself with.

Obama’s Making It Worse - Maria Bartiromo interviewed Jim Rogers, and when she asked, "What do you think of the government’s response to the economic crisis?" he said . . . "Terrible. They’re making it worse. It’s pretty embarrassing for President Obama, who doesn’t seem to have a clue what’s going on - which would make sense from his background."

Jim classically continued . . . "And he had hired people who are part of the problem. Geithner was head of the New York Fed, which was supposedly in charge of Wall Street and the banks more than anybody else. And as you remember, Summers helped bail out Long Term Capital Management years ago. These are people who think the solution si to save their friends on Wall street rather than to save 300 million Americans.

I will close with this quote from Jim Rogers . . . "We’re going to have social unrest in much of the world. America won’t be immune.

NOTE: This piece is just a short something I want to share with the public. For clients we have a conference call scheduled for 8:50AM, Monday morning. We will be discussing more of what is going on around the world, and what appear to be building in the markets.
 
come dicevo ho riniziato a seguire le granaglie, nei prossimi giorni vedrò di mettere qualcosa di più concreto. intanto sono entrato su JJG, piccolo piccolo per ora, penso di accumulare gioco per il medio, no stop at the moment

JJG segue DJagr
 

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e allora propongo il titolo del prossimo thread, che ce l'ho in mente da un po', un insegnamento della mia cara prozia, riposi in pace, ereditato dopo 35 anni di servitù presso la nobiltà veneziana

L'ORO XE' SEMPRE ORO

ciao john, anch'io ho il titolo nella capoccia, se non ti offendi apro ancora io, o se vuoi ti posto il titolo e apri tu, non hai molta scelta:p

ieri sono entrato su questa, stop un paio di cent sotto la statica orizzontale

e su questa, stop il cerchietto, il piccione grosso era la rottura del triangolo precedente, ma è scappato, ora nè sta costruendo uno più lungo, comprato sulla base, stop circa 3.50 la base del canale più ampio, li eventualmente se tiene accumulo sulla tenuta, titolo per il lungo


involontariamente ho cancellato il post precedente, recuperato facendo back...............


Originalmente inviato da Market Neutral
cerchietti sono rottura e stop, 9 è resistenza e target della W, sta costruendo un altra flag

yamana fuori metà 8.98, se rintraccia bene sui supporti magari rientro

per mille che scendono ce ne saranno sempre un paio che salgono, basta ragionarci sopra:o

http://stockcharts.com/scripts/php/candleglance.php?swhc,rgr|B

ma non è che qui non ci sarà nessuna corsa all'oro ma quella al piombo?:rolleyes:


ricapitolo le mie posizioni che avevo postato qui.

ANV e VGZ sempre dentro, nessun cambiamento
AUY chiuso tutto oggi in pari per la seconda metà, venerdi volevo-dovevo chiudere tutto:wall:
uscito poco fa da sturm ruger con un +27% in due settimane, invece stop per smith wesson a 3.74
JJG come dicevo entrato piccolo piccolo senza stop, voglio accumulare
 
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Appena aprite il nuovo tread ..mettete il link ..qui .. su questo . .tread ..




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gli analisti UBS , che hanno ancora il coraggio di parlare , come pure gli altri esponenti di banche criminali , hanno dato OUT PERFORM PER GOLD :D , si vede che sono stati loro a comprarne tons e adesso vorrebbero distribuire ai gonzi.....:DKO!
 
buongiorno a tutti

:'(
http://www.wimp.com/notruth/


ieri ho dimenticato tra le altre cose di specificare che sulle rimanenti put vendute su ge sono ancora dentro
UPDATE 3-GE Capital sells $8 bln in U.S.-guaranteed bonds
http://www.reuters.com/article/marketsNews/idINSP48175420090309?rpc=44

How the Rules Were Rigged
http://www.talkingpointsmemo.com/archives/2009/03/im_sure_the_knowledgeable_people.php


US gold reserve might bring back some of the glitter
http://business.theage.com.au/busin...g-back-some-of-the-glitter-20090309-8tb0.html

Goldcorp sees lower costs, wider margins
http://www.reuters.com/article/GlobalMiningandSteel09/idUSTRE5284LT20090309

Treasury secretary selling NY home for $1.6M
http://www.businessweek.com/ap/financialnews/D96QLJG01.htm

ceo cde
http://www.bloomberg.com/avp/avp.ht...//media2.bloomberg.com/cache/vTJISb4FZhRQ.asf

cde messa maluccio sul grafico, come del resto il settore GDX ha qualche gap lasciato per strada, che però Hui non ha, vedremo

la flag sull'hui è su minimi crescenti, ma se rotta fa -40pts
 

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Appena aprite il nuovo tread ..mettete il link ..qui .. su questo . .tread ..




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una raccomandata, per sicurezza, non la vuoi? :rolleyes:


niente raccomandate costano troppo e sono inutili,

chi cerca trova:p:D

eccolo là, la passione e la sofferenza:'(

http://www.finanzaonline.com/forum/showthread.php?t=1039058

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obama dice di non imbottire i materassi e consumare, berlusca dice la stessa cosa.:rolleyes:

io dico che è meglio risparmiare e essere previdenti:yes:


http://www.safehaven.com/article-12784.htm

That Accursed Propensity To Save
by Antal E. Fekete








"Thank Heaven for little Keynesian Nobel laureates... without them what would little Keynesian Treasury secretaries do?..."

At the long last we got the official explanation how we got into this mess. In his March 2, 2009, column in The New York Times under the banner title Revenge of the Glut Paul Krugman tells us, quoting the authority of the Chairman of the Fedreal Reserve Ben Bernanke, that it is all the fault of the Asians. They save damn too much. They test the endurance of unhappy Americans who bankrupt themselves in trying to work off all that darned excess saving fast enough before it can do more damage. Even though they do their level best, they could not keep up with the prodigious output of the Asians and "global savings glut" is the result. It was the cause of the U.S. current account deficits in the first place; now it is causing more mischief by creating turmoil in the financial markets and in the banking system. In this scenario, the good guys are the Americans. They are heroically trying to stave off disaster through their unselfish consumption. The bad guys are the Asians, tormenting their American victims in force-feeding them with overdoses of consumer goods all the way to the bankruptcy court.

Although Krugman does not say it, the implication is all too clear: there is one especially pernicious form of saving, namely, saving in the form of gold. Keynesians, through half a century of hard work, ably assisted by their Friedmanite comrades, have developed a highly efficient system to embezzle, unobserved, superfluous savings in an antiseptic way. Their sophisticated contra-saving devices through currency debasement anesthetize those bastard savers so that they can be pilfered and plundered without touching a raw nerve. It is a clean job, causing a minimum of commotion.

Unfortunately, these methods do not work on those who do their vicious anti-social saving in the form of gold. These guys will have to be taken care of by other means, such as threats of central bank gold sales, bubble-bursting and price-busting techniques in the paper gold markets, and other similar tactics. If everything else fails, the guillotine could be reactivated as an instrument of monetary policy, last used in this way during the French Revolution. At that time, if you were found in possession of undocumented gold, your head would be chopped off in summary justice.

* * *

It is very doubtful that in the long and checkered history of science there is another episode comparable to this deliberate misuse and abuse of knowledge for the exploitation of those who do not have the full complement of it. What makes it particularly odious is that Keynesian obscurantism and anti-scientific propaganda is put in the service of a hidden agenda: to cover up the mismanagement of the economy through Keynesian precepts, the sabotaging of human cooperation under the system of division of labor, and the destruction of capital through the corruption of the monetary system.

The monetary system was developed to serve and protect society as a whole: savers as well as consumers. After all, at some point during our lives we are (or ought to be) savers, so that later, in our harvest years, we could be consumers. If it does not work in the opposite order, Mother Nature is to be blamed. Saving always and everywhere had to precede consumption. Saving has always been primary and consumption secondary, like it or not.

But Keynesians have overthrown Mother Nature. They say that it is possible to have consumption without prior saving. Having corrupted our monetary system and having destroyed society's capital, Keynesians have rendered people unable to fend for themselves. They treat them as they would treat livestock in the feedlot. In exchange for fattening them (in preparation for the slaughterhouse) livestock is being relieved from the need to gather feed in the summer for winter consumption. Keynesians, self-styled directors of the national economy, reserve the job of the feedlot operator to themselves. They declare savings and capital obsolete. Synthetic credit manufactured at the central bank in the service of collectivism is used as a substitute.

It would be well if Keynesians took to heart the astute observation of Glenn Prickett, Senior V.P. at Conservation International, that "Mother Nature doesn't do bailouts."

* * *

Apparently it has never occurred to Krugman that the present disaster is not due to his imaginary savings glut but, rather, to the imperfections of the monetary system. Why can't we have a monetary system that allows people to save to their hearts' content? Why do we have to have one that sets up the Treasury and the Federal Reserve as partners in the crime of check-kiting? Maybe the idea of delegating unlimited power to these agencies was not such a good idea after all. Maybe the U.S. Constitution imposed a wise limitation on the power of government in refusing to sanction irredeemable currency. Maybe no one should have the privilege to issue liabilities without assuming countervailing responsibilities. Maybe our corrupt monetary system carries the seeds of self-destruction in allowing structures like the quadrillion-dollar strong derivatives tower to get conceived and grow beyond all limits until it topples on the people of Babel. Why is questioning the efficacy of our monetary system taboo anyway? All these questions are side-stepped by Krugman as he trots out that old Keynesian war-horse, the theory of oversaving.

* * *

There is just one disturbing element in Krugman's centrally planned economy. It is the golden thorn in the Keynesian flesh. It is gold, the barbarous relic. Man's greedy little palm is itching to touch the stuff. Visual contact in museums, churches and art galleries will not suffice. Keynesians have a job here that has been cut out for them: they have to 'educate' people that wanting gold is like wanting the moon. They can't have that; at any rate, green cheese is just as good, and the government has an efficient green cheese factory, the central bank, that can manufacture it in unlimited quantities. Those who like gold had better learn to like green cheese.

By the way, this is vintage Keynes. It is in the Bible: the moon, the green cheese factory and all, entitled The General Theory, written by the Prophet in 1936. Go look it up, and see it for yourself. It shows Keynes' cynicism and his infinite contempt for the intelligence of others.

We are anxiously waiting to see how the pupils of the Prophet will deal with this piece of unfinished business: to cure man of auri sacra fames, "the accursed hunger for gold" (Virgil, Aeneid, III. 57.)

* * *

Krugman ends his piece on an alarmist note. The savings glut is still out there, ready to gobble us all up. In fact, it is bigger than ever, now that suddenly impoverished consumers have rediscovered the virtues of thrift; now that the worldwide boom which provided an outlet for all those excess savings has turned into a worldwide bust.

One way to look at the international situation right now, Krugman says, is that we're suffering from the "global paradox of thrift". Around the world savings exceed the amount that businesses are willing to invest. And the result is a global slump that leaves everyone worse off. The implication seems to be that we need a savior. We need someone to save us from ourselves and our own destructive saving habits. The government is our savior. It can tax savings up to 100 percent.

* * *

It is hard to imagine a worse way of standing facts upon their head. The exact opposite is true what Krugman has the cheek to suggest. The falling interest-rate regimen inspired by Keynes has destroyed capital across the board. The only way to replace or to replenish it is through saving. Krugman adds insult to injury when he suggests that there is too much saving in the world, where in fact there is too little, and that this glut is the reason why businessmen have stopped investing. So it falls upon the government to take up the slack and start spending ourselves into prosperity. Krugman's is a recipe for the ruination of what is left of the world economy. The trouble is that he and his cohorts at the Treasury and the Federal Reserve have all the means of coercion at their disposal to finish off the job. They control the monetary system, they control taxation, they control the White House. They also control the guillotine that is being dusted off just in case it may be needed again as an instrument of monetary policy.

* * *

There you have it: Krugman's theory of the savings glut, and my theory of wholesale capital destruction in the world as a result of serial halving of the rate of interest by Keynesian monetary policy. I am ready to submit my thesis to a public debate that it was Keynesian measures that started capital destruction I warned about already eight years ago. If they had any decency, Keynesians should admit that they were wrong and let others come in with the new Obama administration and repair the damage. After all, Keynesians have amassed unprecedented power in Washington with their savings glut fable once before. There is absolutely no reason why they should be given a second chance to try their half-baked theory of oversaving on innocent people. But the idea of giving up power has never crossed their mind. They just won't, even if blood is flowing on the streets of Detroit and Los Angeles. That's the nature of the so-called Keynesian revolution. It is not a branch of economic science; it is a branch of Leninism, a blend of collectivist ideology reinforced with unmatched expertise on conspiracy, street fighting and barricades.

* * *

In a nutshell, here is my theory of wholesale destruction of capital as a result of Keynesian monetary policy of serial halving of the rate of interest. The regime of falling interest rates is lethal to businesses, whether financial or producing. It makes businessmen lethargic: they understand that the falling interest-rate environment makes their investments go sour. It clandestinely wipes out capital through increasing the liquidation value of debt on past borrowings. Lower rates are not helping business as Keynesian propaganda suggests, because the issue is not the cost of future borrowing. The issue is the historic cost of past borrowings that has rendered existing investments unprofitable.

Chartered accountants and bank examiners ignore the erosion of capital due to falling interest rates, most likely with the connivance of governments if not on direct order from them. So there is no advance warning, and the destruction of capital presents a surprise fait accompli. When it hits, it is already too late to do anything about it.

The wholesale destruction of capital is a social disaster of the first magnitude, in many ways worse than the destruction of physical capital due to war, precisely because wartime damage is expected and preparations are made to cushion it. Capital accumulation is the result of decades or even centuries of arduous saving by hundreds of millions of individuals that, nevertheless, can be frittered away in a matter of a few years. To rebuild the capital base of society will take a concentrated effort to save for decades to come. This great task of reconstruction is certainly not being helped, rather, it is being sabotaged by the vicious Keynesian agitation about a mythical savings glut.

* * *

Gold offers the only ray of hope in an otherwise thoroughly gloomy picture. Gold represents that hard core of capital that cannot be destroyed by the credit collapse. Gold is the only asset that survives any consolidation of balance sheets. Other bank assets tend to be canceled out upon the nationalization of banks. At any rate, they are subject to counter-party performance that becomes questionable in a credit collapse. Gold has no counter-party liability.

If our civilization is to survive, it will have to make a head start in rebuilding capital, the sooner the better. It cannot start capital accumulation from scratch. It must enlist gold in the reconstruction effort. One ounce of gold will go farther than all the make-belief credits created out of the thin air by all the defunct central banks of the world.

This is the triumph of gold: it can be bad-mouthed all the Keynesians want. But gold and those who control it will have the last laugh.
 
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